AGP Executive Report

US-Iran Nuclear Diplomacy: The US is pushing the IAEA Board of Governors to verify Iran’s highly enriched uranium stockpile, with a draft resolution urging renewed inspections and warning of possible UN Security Council referral. Gaza Crossings Blocked: UN chief António Guterres voiced deep concern after Israel closed Gaza crossings, saying no crossing points are open and aid is being halted from outside. Iran-Israel Truce Under Strain: Trump said the US will keep pursuing an Iran nuclear deal regardless of Israel’s stance, while Iran and Israel traded fire again before pausing; Israel also issued evacuation alerts for Lebanon’s Tyre and surrounding towns. Lebanon Escalation: Iran said it halted operations after a “painful response,” while Israeli strikes continued in the north and officials reported heavy tolls and displacement. Regional Security Talks: Pakistani and Lebanese army chiefs met to discuss security amid the Lebanon strikes, as UNIFIL reported repeated airspace violations. Trade & Economy: Türkiye and Canada began free trade agreement talks; Egypt’s fintech Blnk raised $37m to expand point-of-sale credit.

Iran-Israel Ceasefire Pause: Iran and Israel said they’ve halted direct attacks after the most direct clash since April, with Trump urging both sides to stop “shooting” and warning Netanyahu against escalation that could leave Israel “alone” against Iran. Lebanon Front Still Hot: Even as Iran and Israel step back, Hezbollah and Israel’s Lebanon campaign continue, with Israel striking Tyre and warning it will persist against Hezbollah. Red Sea Pressure: Yemen’s Houthis declared a Red Sea blockade for Israeli ships, threatening attacks and escalation across the region. Gaza Aid Disrupted: Israel suspended Gaza humanitarian aid deliveries and closed crossings after Iran’s missile attack, despite claims of sufficient aid inflow. Palestinian Media Under Fire: A Palestinian journalists group recorded 55 violations against journalists in May, including arrests, obstruction, and live-fire incidents. EU Backs Egypt Maritime Security: The EU approved €20m military aid for Egypt to upgrade naval capabilities and protect Red Sea and Mediterranean routes. Arab League Diplomacy: The Arab League held preparatory talks for the June 22–23 Arab-European ministerial in Amman, focusing on shared political and economic priorities.

Iran-Israel Escalation: Iran fired missiles and drones at Israel after an Israeli strike on Beirut’s Dahieh, with sirens in multiple regions and Israel saying it intercepted the barrage; hours later, Israel struck targets across Iran including the Mahshahr petrochemical complex and said it dismantled Iranian defense systems. Lebanon Front: Israel vowed to intensify operations against Hezbollah despite US calls for restraint, while Iran warned further attacks on Lebanon would bring “crushing blows.” Yemen Red Sea Shock: Houthis declared a complete ban on Israeli shipping and vowed to target Israel-affiliated vessels, adding pressure to already strained Red Sea routes. Diplomacy Under Strain: Trump urged both sides to return to negotiations and told Netanyahu not to retaliate, as Iran blamed the US for ceasefire breaches and said talks would be affected. Markets and Energy: Oil jumped toward/above $95 as the Strait of Hormuz risk returned to focus; stocks slid, the rupee weakened, and gold dipped on rate worries. Travel Warnings: India issued fresh advisories urging citizens to avoid Iran and exit immediately; Tehran also suspended flights at Mehrabad. Cyber Threats: A pro-Palestinian hacking group warned of “most devastating” cyberattacks on critical infrastructure of Israel and allies.

Iran-Gulf Escalation: Iran fired ballistic missiles and drones toward Bahrain and Kuwait, with Bahrain saying interceptions occurred; Tehran claimed it targeted U.S. military assets after U.S. strikes on Qeshm Island, while the U.S. weighs tougher economic pressure, including letting Gulf states tap frozen Iranian assets for war damages. Israel-Iran Missile Exchange: Israel said it intercepted missiles launched from Iran after a Beirut strike, as air raid sirens sounded and regional airspace closures spread; Trump urged Iran to return to talks and told Netanyahu not to strike back, while Iran warned of “crushing” responses if attacks on Lebanon continue. Lebanon Under Strikes: Despite a ceasefire, Israeli airstrikes hit Beirut’s southern suburbs and southern towns, killing at least 11 and wounding 15, with Israel citing Hezbollah activity. West Bank Crackdown: Israeli forces arrested several Palestinians in the West Bank, including farmers in Beit Anan, amid renewed restrictions on land access. Egypt-Gulf Diplomacy & Projects: Egypt’s PM inaugurated a new Coca-Cola HBC production line in Alexandria and reviewed Alexandria Metro progress; Egypt and Qatar’s FMs discussed Iran crisis and Gaza implementation steps. Regional Mediation: Türkiye said it is ready to support Hormuz mine-clearing if asked, and Pakistan’s interior minister arrived in Iran for mediation.

US-Iran Gulf escalation: CENTCOM says it shot down two Iranian one-way drones over the Strait of Hormuz, citing threats to maritime traffic, after earlier strikes on Iranian coastal radar sites; Gulf backlash: Iran’s missiles hit Bahrain and Kuwait, with Bahrain and Kuwait condemning “aggression” and warning of escalation; Ceasefire pressure: talks appear stalled as Pakistan’s Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi travels to Tehran with a “special letter” for Iran’s supreme leader; US policy shift: Washington is considering redirecting frozen Iranian assets to fund Gulf reconstruction and repairs for past and future damage, a move that could further strain the fragile truce; Israel-Palestine violence: Israeli forces killed a seven-month-old Palestinian baby near Hebron and wounded his parents, while separate shootings near the West Bank left at least one dead and several injured; Gaza ceasefire talks: Hamas began meetings in Cairo with Palestinian factions and mediators to implement a Gaza ceasefire and discuss next-phase arrangements; Security spotlight: the Pentagon reportedly raised its counterintelligence threat level for Israel to “critical,” citing concerns about spying on senior US officials.

Gulf Escalation: The US struck Iranian coastal radar sites after intercepting drones aimed at the Strait of Hormuz, as Iran said it retaliated with missiles against US-linked bases in Kuwait and Bahrain; Bahrain and Kuwait reported interceptions and air-traffic disruptions, while Gulf states condemned Tehran’s “aggression.” Lebanon Front: Israel’s strikes in southern Lebanon killed Lebanese Army personnel, drawing Jordan’s condemnation and raising pressure on a fragile Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire. West Bank Violence: In Hebron, a seven-month-old baby was killed and parents wounded after Israeli gunfire at a vehicle, while reports also surfaced of assaults on Palestinians by soldiers and settlers. Gaza Toll: Gaza health authorities said deaths from the Israeli aggression rose to 72,961 martyrs, with continued strikes including a drone attack on a displaced camp. US-Iran Talks, Sports Diplomacy: Iran accused the US of “vindictive” visa denials for World Cup staff, while the US denied visas to some Iranian officials; Iran’s team still departed for Mexico amid the wider war-related standoff. US Security Concerns: US media reported the Pentagon raised Israel’s espionage threat level to “critical,” alleging intensified monitoring of senior US officials tied to Iran negotiations. Regional Politics: Ireland banned entry for Israeli ministers and urged EU pressure on Israel, while the Union of Arab Banks honored Qatar’s finance minister with a leadership award.

US-Iran Escalation in the Gulf: CENTCOM says it shot down four Iranian one-way drones toward the Strait of Hormuz and then struck Iranian coastal radar sites in Goruk and on Qeshm Island, as Iran retaliated with seven ballistic missiles at Kuwait and Bahrain (six intercepted, one missed), with air-raid sirens reported in both Gulf states. Bahrain and Kuwait Push Back: Bahrain condemned the attacks as “blatant aggression” and urged Iran to stop, while Kuwait reopened airspace after a precautionary closure and said its air defences intercepted hostile threats. Lebanon Front: Iran’s FM Abbas Araghchi told Lebanese President Joseph Aoun Lebanon is not a “bargaining chip,” as Israel continued strikes in southern Lebanon that killed Lebanese soldiers, including an officer, days after a ceasefire deal. West Bank Violence: Health officials say an Israeli shooting killed a seven-month-old Palestinian baby near Hebron, with parents also wounded. Gaza Ceasefire Talks: A Hamas delegation arrived in Cairo for talks with Egyptian officials on implementing the first phase and setting mechanisms for the second phase. EU Sanctions on Settlers: EU measures against Israeli settler groups drew a defiant response from those targeted, who called the penalties a “badge of honour.” World Cup Visas Amid Tensions: The US granted visas to Iran’s World Cup players, but reports say some administrative staff were still waiting. Saudi-Malaysia Cultural Deal: Saudi Arabia and Malaysian translators signed an MoU to boost cooperation in translation and publishing at the Kuala Lumpur International Book Fair.

US-Iran Nuclear Talks: Trump says Washington is nearing a uranium-related arrangement with Iran, while Tehran’s hardliners insist any deal hinges on unfreezing $24bn in frozen assets. Maritime Tensions: Iran’s navy claimed warning shots at US destroyers in the Gulf of Oman, but CENTCOM denied it, saying such actions would violate the ceasefire. Lebanon Front: Israel struck multiple areas in southern Lebanon despite ceasefire efforts, killing at least 10 and prompting fresh evacuation warnings; Lebanon’s leaders accuse Iran of using the country as a “bargaining chip.” Gaza Ceasefire Reality: Israeli attacks continued across Gaza, with reports of deaths and injuries and growing fear that the ceasefire is only on paper. West Bank Violence: A Palestinian infant was killed and parents wounded after Israeli forces fired on a family car near Hebron. World Cup Diplomacy: Iran’s squad received US visas for the 2026 tournament, clearing travel plans just days before kickoff. Sanctions Pressure: The US imposed new sanctions on an Iran-linked LPG smuggling and shadow banking network using UAE/China front firms. Humanitarian Strain: The UN more than doubled its Lebanon aid appeal to nearly $640m over six months.

Lebanon Humanitarian Crisis: The UN more than doubled its Lebanon aid appeal to nearly $640 million over six months as Israel’s war with Hezbollah drives repeated displacement and strains services. Israel-Hezbollah Escalation: Hezbollah rejected a US-brokered ceasefire as Israel warned it would strike and evacuate areas north of the Litani; strikes in Tyre killed at least seven despite the deal. Ceasefire Politics: Hezbollah called the agreement a “farce,” demanding full Israeli withdrawal, while Israel said it would keep operating in Lebanon. Iran Nuclear Oversight: The IAEA said it can’t inspect key Iranian sites or confirm uranium stockpile details due to war disruptions, with safeguards responsibilities “indispensable and urgent.” US-Iran War Powers: The US House approved a resolution to halt the Iran war, signaling growing congressional pushback as talks stall. Diplomacy Signals: Trump said he’d be “honored” to meet Iran’s new leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, if a deal is reached, while insisting Iran must be barred from nuclear weapons. Gulf Energy & Security: Iran says the Strait of Hormuz should be jointly managed with Oman under international law, as attacks and shipping disruptions keep pressure on regional energy routes. Domestic Pressure in Israel: A poll showed Netanyahu’s support slipping in northern Israel amid Hezbollah rocket fire and anger over the Lebanon war.

Lebanon-Israel Ceasefire Fallout: Hezbollah rejected a US-backed truce, insisting on a comprehensive halt and Israeli withdrawal, while Israel’s defense minister said operations won’t stop and troops won’t withdraw—keeping pressure on Washington’s push to de-escalate and link any Lebanon deal to Iran talks. Gaza Humanitarian Crisis: Palestinian health officials said multiple Gaza hospitals are severely damaged or out of service, with insecurity and access limits blocking civilians from reaching care. US-Iran Negotiations Stumble: Iran and the US trade upbeat and harsh signals as a key sticking point remains Iran’s frozen assets; Trump also attacked a House vote to limit war powers, calling it “unpatriotic.” Kuwait Strike Dispute: Iran denied responsibility for an attack on Kuwait airport, while Kuwait and US officials condemned Iran’s aggression and discussed security coordination. Regional Diplomacy: Qatar’s PM spoke with France on mediation efforts covering Lebanon, Gaza and occupied territories; Egypt reiterated firm peace positions and condemned attacks on Kuwait and Bahrain. Israel Politics & Global Image: Ben-Gvir called the Lebanon ceasefire a “grave mistake,” and a Pew survey found broad unfavorable views of Israel and low confidence in Netanyahu across many countries. Egypt Aid & Health Cooperation: WFP and KOICA completed a $6m programme supporting refugees and host communities, while Egypt’s Grand Mufti met Malaysia on halal and fatwa cooperation.

Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire: Israel and Lebanon agreed to implement a conditional ceasefire after US-mediated talks in Washington, with “pilot zones” giving the Lebanese army exclusive control and Hezbollah required to stop firing and evacuate south of the Litani River. Gaza Strikes: Despite the Lebanon deal, Israeli airstrikes in Gaza City killed at least nine Palestinians, with medics warning the ceasefire there remains shaky and the second phase talks stalled. Hezbollah Drone Threat: Reports say Hezbollah’s fibre-optic-guided drones are exposing gaps in Israel’s counter-UAV defenses, raising pressure on Israel’s preparedness. US-Iran War Powers: The US House passed a resolution to halt further military action against Iran unless Congress approves, a rare bipartisan rebuke of President Trump. Iran World Cup Under Fire: Iran’s players say the war is disrupting preparations for the 2026 World Cup, with visa and political pressures adding to the strain. Kuwait Airport Attack: Kuwait reported damage and casualties after an Iranian drone strike on the airport, while Iran and the US trade blame over whether a US Patriot interceptor malfunctioned. Iran Cost of Living: Iran’s inflation and price hikes are accelerating, with families describing shortages and rising costs “by the hour.” Egypt Economy: Egypt’s trade deficit widened 48.8% year-on-year in March, while gold prices fell on June 3. Saudi Power Deal: KEPCO won a contract tied to Saudi Aramco’s Jafurah power project, boosting regional energy investment.

Gulf Security Shock: Iran’s missile and drone attack hit Kuwait International Airport, killing at least one and injuring 63, damaging Terminal 1 and briefly suspending flights, as Kuwait protested and expelled Iranian diplomats. Bahrain Crackdown: Bahrain arrested 15 people tied to an Iranian agents network, accusing them of social infiltration and incitement. US-Iran Escalation: The US and Iran traded fresh strikes in the Persian Gulf and around the Strait of Hormuz, with Washington saying it acted in self-defense and targeting missile-related sites near Qeshm Island, while Iran claimed attacks on US-linked assets. Ceasefire Strain: Diplomacy over a possible interim understanding remains shaky, with Iran’s foreign minister saying texts are being reviewed and linking any deal to Lebanon’s battlefield. Lebanon Crossfire: Israel struck southern Lebanon, killing at least nine including paramedics, as Hezbollah fired rockets toward northern Israel. Markets Hit: The renewed fighting pushed oil higher and rattled Wall Street, with major US indexes falling sharply. US Politics & Iran Talks: US Secretary of State Marco Rubio insisted “Epic Fury” is over even as strikes continued, while lawmakers weigh how any Iran deal could be constrained by Congress.

Gulf Escalation: Iran carried out a drone strike on Kuwait International Airport’s Terminal One, Kuwait says, wounding people and causing “significant” damage; Kuwait suspended air traffic and diverted flights while emergency teams assessed repairs. Regional Air Defenses: Bahrain reported intercepting three missiles and several drones in the latest Iranian attacks. US-Iran Clash: The US said it intercepted Iranian missile/drone attacks and carried out “self-defence” strikes on Iran’s Qeshm Island, while Iran and regional allies traded blame over the strikes. Diplomacy Under Strain: Egypt’s foreign minister discussed ways to reduce tensions with US envoy Steve Witkoff, as talks remain fragile. Sanctions Pressure: The US Treasury sanctioned Iran-linked crypto platforms, including Nobitex, as part of a wider push to squeeze Iran’s financial channels. Markets: Gulf stocks slipped on Iran-war jitters, while oil prices rose amid renewed hostilities. Lebanon Front: A separate Israeli drone strike hit a vehicle on the Khaldeh-Naameh road south of Beirut, Lebanon’s NNA reported.

Israel-Lebanon Diplomacy: Trump says US-Iran talks are moving “continuously” and fast, while Israel and Hezbollah keep trading fire despite a partial ceasefire claim; diplomats meet in Washington for a fourth Lebanon-Israel round as Lebanon presses for a full ceasefire and withdrawal. Iran-US Nuclear Talks: Iran is reviewing a proposed US agreement but Iranian media says Tehran has stopped communicating for days; US officials push a phased plan tied to reopening Hormuz and “severe” nuclear limits, with Rubio warning no sanctions relief without nuclear concessions. Sanctions Pressure: The US Treasury hit Iran’s largest crypto exchange Nobitex and three others, targeting digital-asset networks tied to sanctions evasion. Regional Security & Shipping: Iran’s Quds Force chief warns Israel’s strikes could lead to blocking Bab al-Mandab, echoing Hormuz disruption fears, as a US missile disabled an oil tanker bound for Iran after a standoff. Lebanon/Hezbollah Fallout: Netanyahu faces domestic criticism after Trump said Israel would stop Beirut plans; Hezbollah says it won’t accept a partial ceasefire. Palestinian Holy Sites: OIC and Arab League condemned Israeli settler incursions into al-Aqsa as Muslim states call for an end to raids and flag-raising inside the compound. Bahrain Security Measures: Bahrain bans travel to Iran and Iraq, citing security risks and alleged IRGC-linked influence networks.

Israel–Hezbollah Truce Talks: Trump says Israel and Hezbollah agreed to stop fighting and that no troops will go to Beirut, but fresh clashes and continued strikes keep the Lebanon ceasefire shaky. US–Iran Negotiations: Trump insists Iran talks are moving fast and a deal could come “over the next week,” even as Iran reports halting indirect exchanges over Lebanon attacks—raising fears for the Strait of Hormuz. Strait of Hormuz Risk: Japan’s PM calls for safe passage and urges flexibility to secure goods and medicines, while markets react to uncertainty over reopening the chokepoint. Lebanon Under Pressure: UN Security Council members condemn Israeli strikes and warn against renewed occupation; rights groups cite large-scale destruction and displacement. Diplomacy in the Region: Qatar’s PM discusses US-Iran mediation with Iran’s foreign minister, as Lebanon’s presidency says Hezbollah accepted a reciprocal cessation proposal. Human Rights: UN officials condemn Gaza’s worsening humanitarian situation amid continued attacks and blockade, especially for children. Regional Politics: Malaysia condemns Al-Aqsa settler actions and calls for accountability. Economy & Energy: Gulf stocks trade mixed on the ceasefire uncertainty; oil prices dip then swing on US-Iran headlines. Capital Punishment: Iran executes three convicted rapists amid criticism of a surge in executions.

US-Iran Lebanon Ceasefire Tensions: Iran’s foreign minister Abbas Araghchi said a US ceasefire covers “all fronts, including Lebanon,” warning Washington and Israel over any violations, as Netanyahu ordered renewed airstrikes in Beirut’s southern suburbs and displacement fears returned. Diplomacy vs. Deadlines: Trump said talks with Iran are moving at a “rapid pace,” while Iran-linked reports claimed Tehran suspended indirect talks after Israeli escalation; Iran also asked Pakistan to keep mediating and urged preserving the Lebanon ceasefire. Ceasefire Claims in Lebanon: Trump said Israel and Hezbollah agreed to halt attacks and that no troops would go to Beirut, with Lebanon’s embassy in Washington saying Hezbollah accepted a US proposal for a mutual cessation across Lebanese territory. Strait of Hormuz and Markets: With Hormuz shipping threatened, oil jumped on renewed risk of supply disruption, while analysts warned volatility could stay high. Regional Condemnations: Egypt condemned Al-Aqsa Mosque incursions by Israeli settlers under police protection, and Bahrain condemned Iranian missile and drone attacks on Kuwait. Palestinian Rights Watch: UN experts warned of escalating settler terror and displacement in the Occupied Palestinian Territory. Sanctions and Tech: The US moved against an Iranian-affiliated fraud network targeting American companies for defense-linked technology. UK Border Pressure: British anti-Israel groups urged screening IDF veterans at UK borders over alleged war crimes.